By the end of this year, elections will be held in Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh and Mizoram. It will be like a semi-final of the country’s general elections in 2019, in which the two major parties of the country will be directly on front-foot in three major states.
Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh are ruled by the BJP government and Congress is the main opposition party. In Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, the BJP has been in power since the last fifteen years and it has lasted five years of power in Rajasthan. During the last Lok Sabha election, BJP won the elections with 62 seats out of the 65 Lok Sabha seats in these three states but now on the BJP, the path ahead is not going to be so easy.
Indeed, the tactics used in Karnataka and Kairana have worked to make the opposition camp open, since 2014, the opposition has been so proactive and united for the first time since 2014. The oath taking ceremony of Kumaraswamy in Karnataka has proved to be a platform for the unity of the opposition against the big bully, BJP. With the support of mutual solidarity, it is now possible to rein in the chariot of BJP and Narendra Modi, which will not be easy for the BJP during the upcoming elections. Here, the Congress has succeeded in re-entering power in the state for the first time with the support of the alliance in Karnataka, and due to anti-incumbency in these three states, it seems possible to get its return, and now Rahul Gandhi is in the politics of the coalition. Are trusting. If all these three states have coalition with the Congress’s Bahujan Samaj Party and other smaller parties then the BJP’s path is not going to be easy. On the other hand, BJP’s strategy, on the other hand, by controlling the anti-incumbency wave, is to proceed with keeping the Congress regime in front, keeping all its old faces in the three states, will be in the assembly elections, with Modi brand and Amit Shah’s strategies will also be able to defend these forts.
The Tough Tussle in Madhya Pradesh
In December this year, the BJP will be completing fifteen years of power in the state and in November, Shivraj Singh Chauhan will also complete his 13 years as Chief Minister. It is believed that in the last fourteen years, the Congress has been fighting more and less in the middle of the BJP in Madhya Pradesh. During this time, if the Congress has failed to present itself as BJP’s alternative, then the Congress leaders themselves are responsible for it, because during the elections, during the elections, the Congress leaders split in many groups, more than the BJP, while fighting against each other. Have been looking. Now the high command strategy is to change this situation. In the situation of indecision, there has been a big change in the ongoing Congress organization, under which Kamal Nath Pradesh President and Jyotiraditya Scindia have been given the mandate of the election campaign, along with former Chief Minister Digvijay Singh has been appointed Chairman of the Coordination Committee. Since the arrival of the new team, the election preparations of the Congress have risen and the party has set a target of winning 150 seats.
Here’s a change in BJP’s strategy. When BJP’s National President Amit Shah came to Bhopal in August last year, he had announced that the BJP will face Shivraj Singh Chauhan in the assembly elections in 2018, but on 4th May, when Amit Shah organized the workers conference in Bhopal He had come for a few hours, then he clearly said that there will be no face from the party for the forthcoming elections in Madhya Pradesh. Amit Shah is also feeling the anti-incumbency wave in Madhya Pradesh. Then, on 12th June, Amit Shah, taking a review of the preparations for the elections in Jabalpur, accepting the anti-incumbency wave and not understanding the opposition Congress as weak And asked to focus on the peasants, traders and tribal classes.
In fact, just before the elections in Madhya Pradesh, the farmers movement is once again on the boil, whose center is the same Mandsaur, the place that witnessed shooting of protestors last year. Congress wants to redeem this anger of farmers. Rahul Gandhi had selected this day as a part of his election campaign in Madhya Pradesh on the day of Mandsaur shooting on June 6.
Earlier, in Madhya Pradesh, Congress never gave such importance to parties like SP and BSP, but this time Congress has tried to make its pre-coalition with BSP, SP and Gondwana Republic Party in Madhya Pradesh, which will divide anti-BJP votes. In fact, Bahujan Samaj Party has an impact on about eight seats in Madhya Pradesh whereas the Samajwadi Party’s influence is also around 25 Are on seats. If this alliance is formed and the Shivraj Sarkar can not calm the anger of the farmers during the time, then in Madhya Pradesh, it will have to be ready for a fight from the Congress. This annoyance of the farmers in the election year and the Shivraj’s government can prove to be a big challenge.
Chattisgarh: The third knock of power
Chhattisgarh which was a part of the undivided Madhya Pradesh, more or less like Madhya Pradesh. The tribal majority has been the BJP’s Hakkum in this state for the last fifteen years and Raman Singh becomes the longest serving leader of the BJP from the BJP side. He has been in the post since 2003.
The most important thing about Chhattisgarh is that there is very little difference between defeat between Congress and BJP, but this time the third party is also claiming that Ajit Jogi, who has made a new party out of Congress, is in the fray and he You are looking at the role of King Maker.
Rajasthan: BJP’s weak link
Rajasthan is considered to be the weakest link for the BJP in all the three states, one has been in power after every five years, while on the other hand Chief Minister Vasundhara Raje’s style of work has clearly seen the state of discontent in the public and the BJP itself. May go.
Among these, Rajput society has also raised the BJP’s troubles by giving a slogan “Vasundhara free Rajasthan” and “Kamal’s flower our mistake” while opening a front against the BJP. Rajput society organizations have also announced to organize the Vasundhara Dikkar Sammelan in all the districts of the state where people of Rajput society will be sworn in to not vote for BJP. This campaign of Rajput society can prove to be very fatal for BJP and Vasundhara government, already in trouble.